Friday, 06 September 2013
- The Australian Wool Production Forecasting Committee has maintained its estimate of shorn wool production for 2012/13 at 350mkg.
- The Committee’s second forecast of 2013/14 production remains unchanged at 345mkg, down 1.4 per cent from the 2012/13 total. The forecast decline reflects expected decrease in sheep numbers due to increased sheep turn-off, and a reduction in average fleece weights due to seasonal conditions.
The Australian Wool Production Forecasting Committee (AWPFC) has forecast Australian wool production to decline to 345 million greasy kilograms for the 2013/14 season, down by 1.4 per cent from the 2012/13 season total of 350 mkg.
Committee Chairman Russell Pattinson commented that “the slight decrease in seasonal production reflects two major factors – an increase in sheep turn-off for slaughter in 2012/13, which has reduced season-opening sheep numbers for 2013/14; and an expected reduction in average fleece weight resulting from the dry seasonal conditions that were experienced in many woolgrowing regions in the first half of 2013”.
Mr Pattinson added that “results from the recent joint MLA and AWI production survey indicate that grower intent has shifted back slightly from flock growth, toward maintenance of existing sheep numbers”.
Regionally, declines in 2013/14 wool production are forecast for New South Wales and Queensland which outweigh expected slight increases in wool production in Victoria, Tasmania, South Australia and Western Australia.
| 表 1：澳大利亚羊毛产量估计和预测摘要 | |||||
| 参数 | 2011/12年度最终估算 | 2012/13 August Estimate | 同比变化（%） | 2013/14 Second Forecast | 同比变化（%） |
| 开盘羊数量 (百万头) |
73.1 | 74.7 | 2.1% | 73.9 | -1.0% |
| 被剪毛的绵羊数量 (百万头) |
76.4 | 78.8 | 3.1% | 78.4 | -0.4% |
| 每头平均切割量 (公斤/头） |
4.48 |
4.43 | -1.1% | 4.39 | -0.8% |
| 羊毛生产 油腻 |
342 | 350 | 2.3% | 345 | -1.4% |
注：由于四舍五入，总数可能不符。
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| 昆士兰州 | 新南威尔士州 | 维多利亚州 | TAS | SA | 西澳大利亚 | 国家 | ||
| 2011/12年度最终估算 | 13.7 | 125.5 | 76.9 | 10.3 | 54.0 | 68.6 | 350 | |
| 2012/13年4月预测 | 12.5 | 120.0 | 77.7 | 10.4 | 54.9 | 69.0 | 345 | |
| 同比变化（%） | -8.6% |
-4.4% |
1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | -1.4% | |
注：由于四舍五入，总数可能不符。
国家委员会采纳了六个州委员会的建议，每个州委员会都包括经纪人、种植者、私人协议商人、州农业部门的代表以及澳大利亚羊毛检测局。.
数据和信息还来自 AWEX、羊毛出口商、澳大利亚统计局、ABARES、AWTA 和澳大利亚肉类及畜牧业协会。.
