Friday, 06 September 2013
- The Australian Wool Production Forecasting Committee has maintained its estimate of shorn wool production for 2012/13 at 350mkg.
- The Committee’s second forecast of 2013/14 production remains unchanged at 345mkg, down 1.4 per cent from the 2012/13 total. The forecast decline reflects expected decrease in sheep numbers due to increased sheep turn-off, and a reduction in average fleece weights due to seasonal conditions.
The Australian Wool Production Forecasting Committee (AWPFC) has forecast Australian wool production to decline to 345 million greasy kilograms for the 2013/14 season, down by 1.4 per cent from the 2012/13 season total of 350 mkg.
Committee Chairman Russell Pattinson commented that “the slight decrease in seasonal production reflects two major factors – an increase in sheep turn-off for slaughter in 2012/13, which has reduced season-opening sheep numbers for 2013/14; and an expected reduction in average fleece weight resulting from the dry seasonal conditions that were experienced in many woolgrowing regions in the first half of 2013”.
Mr Pattinson added that “results from the recent joint MLA and AWI production survey indicate that grower intent has shifted back slightly from flock growth, toward maintenance of existing sheep numbers”.
Regionally, declines in 2013/14 wool production are forecast for New South Wales and Queensland which outweigh expected slight increases in wool production in Victoria, Tasmania, South Australia and Western Australia.
| Tableau 1 : Résumé des estimations et des prévisions relatives à la production de laine en Australie | |||||
| Paramètres | 2011/12 Final Estimate | 2012/13 August Estimate | Variation en glissement annuel (%) | 2013/14 Second Forecast | Variation en glissement annuel (%) |
| Nombre d'ovins à l'ouverture (millions de têtes) |
73.1 | 74.7 | 2.1% | 73.9 | -1.0% |
| Nombre de moutons tondus (millions de têtes) |
76.4 | 78.8 | 3.1% | 78.4 | -0.4% |
| Coupe moyenne par tête (kg/tête) |
4.48 |
4.43 | -1.1% | 4.39 | -0.8% |
| Production de laine tondue (mkg gras) |
342 | 350 | 2.3% | 345 | -1.4% |
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding
|
||||||||
| QLD | NGS | VIC | TAS | SA | WA | National | ||
| 2011/12 Final Estimate | 13.7 | 125.5 | 76.9 | 10.3 | 54.0 | 68.6 | 350 | |
| 2012/13 April Forecast | 12.5 | 120.0 | 77.7 | 10.4 | 54.9 | 69.0 | 345 | |
| Variation en glissement annuel (%) | -8.6% |
-4.4% |
1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | -1.4% | |
Note: Totals may not add due to rounding
The National Committee drew on advice from the six State Committees, each of which includes brokers, growers, private treaty merchants, representatives from State Departments of Agriculture, and the Australian Wool Testing Authority.
L'AWEX, les exportateurs de laine, le Bureau australien des statistiques, ABARES, AWTA et Meat and Livestock Australia ont également fourni des données et des informations.
