The Australian Wool Production Forecasting Committee (AWPFC) has updated its forecast of shorn wool production for the 2023\/24 season. The fourth forecast is for production of 324 million kilograms (Mkg) greasy, 1.0% lower than the 2022\/23 estimate and a 4 Mkg greasy downward revision of the December forecast.<\/p>\n
The Australian Wool Production Forecasting Committee (AWPFC) has updated its forecast of shorn wool production for the 2023\/24 season. The fourth forecast is for production of 324 million kilograms (Mkg) greasy, 1.0% lower than the 2022\/23 estimate and a 4 Mkg greasy downward revision of the December forecast.<\/p>\n
Committee Chairman, Stephen Hill said that “the revised April forecast reflects the varied seasonal conditions across the key wool growing regions of Australia and the impact on numbers of sheep shorn and average cut per head. Held over lambs and older breeding ewes remain in the flock as sheep meat prices stay relatively low. The number of sheep shorn during 2023\/24 is expected to remain at 71.6 million near the 2022\/23 season level.\u201d<\/p>\n
\u201cNew South Wales is forecast to shear 26.6 million head this season (up 2.7%) despite the varied seasonal conditions across the state as the key wool producing regions in the central west and southeast have had a reasonable season to date with recent welcome widespread rain. The number of sheep shorn is expected to increase in South Australia due to favourable seasonal conditions in the pastoral regions but will remain either steady or decrease in other states.\u201d<\/p>\n
Average cut per head is expected to be 4.53 kg greasy, down 2.2% compared to 2022\/23. AWTA key test data for the season to date show no change in mean fibre diameter (20.8 microns) or vegetable matter (2.2%), a 2.1 mm decrease in staple length to 87.5 mm and a 0.6% reduction in yield to 65.8%.<\/p>\n
AWTA wool test volumes to the end of March 2024 were down by 2.9% on a year-on-year basis. First-hand offered wool at auction to the end of March 2024 (week 39) was up 1.4% compared with the same period in 2022\/23.<\/p>\n
The AWPFC\u2019s first forecast of shorn wool production for the 2024\/25 season is 306 Mkg greasy, a 5.8% decrease on the 2023\/24 forecast.<\/p>\n
| <\/td>\n | \n 2022\/23<\/strong><\/p>\n Estimation<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 2023\/24<\/strong><\/p>\n Fourth <\/strong>forecast<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n Changer<\/em> en glissement annuel<\/em><\/p>\n (%)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 2024\/25<\/strong><\/p>\n First<\/strong> forecast<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n Changer<\/em> en glissement annuel<\/em><\/p>\n (%)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n Nombre de moutons tondus<\/strong><\/p>\n (millions de t\u00eates)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n 71.5<\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n 71.6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n 0.1%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n 67.3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n –<\/em>6.0%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n Average<\/strong> cut<\/strong> per<\/strong> head<\/strong><\/p>\n (kg graisseux\/t\u00eate)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n 4.59<\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n 4.53<\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n –<\/em>2.2%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n 4.55<\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n 0.0%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n Production de laine tondue<\/strong><\/p>\n (Mkg gras)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n 328<\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n 324<\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n –<\/em>1.0%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n 306<\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n –<\/em>5.8%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n <\/p>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n Saison<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n NGS<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n VIC<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n WA<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n SA<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n TAS<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n QLD<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n AUSTRALIE<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n 2021\/22<\/strong><\/p>\n (Mkg gras)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 113.3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 73.9<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 61.2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 56.1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 10.3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 8.9<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 324<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n 2022\/23<\/strong><\/p>\n (Mkg gras)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 119.0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 70.0<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 60.6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 56.7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 10.2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 11.3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 328<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n Variation en glissement annuel (%)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 5.0%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n –<\/em>5.3%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n –<\/em>1.0%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 1.1%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n –<\/em>1.0%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 27.0%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 1.3%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n 2023\/24<\/strong> Fourth<\/strong> Pr\u00e9visions<\/strong><\/p>\n (Mkg gras)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 122.2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 68.7<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 55.6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 58.6<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 9.3<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 10.1<\/p>\n<\/td>\n 324<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n Variation en glissement annuel (%)<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 2.7%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n –<\/em>1.9%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n –<\/em>8.3%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 3.4%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n –<\/em>8.8%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n -10.6%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n 0.0%<\/em><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n <\/em><\/p>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n 2022\/23<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n <\/strong><\/p>\n |